Performance evidence
RA-Trader published basket performance
The numbers below are historical simulations from the published case-study evidence set. They are useful for comparison and review, but they are not promises of future live trading results.
Evidence Summary
43published baskets
12crypto pairs
113.9% to 58,281.8%historical simulation return range
-2.35% to -30.43%maximum drawdown range
Sample Pair Results
| Pair | Profile | Basket | Return | Max DD | PF | Win Rate | Trades | Tested Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | Conservative | btcusdt-conservative-wave15-final-v1 | 189% | -4.51% | 7.52 | 81.58% | 38 | 2025-03-03 to 2026-03-03 |
| BTCUSDT | Balanced | btcusdt-balanced-wave15-final-v1 | 145% | -5.42% | 5.31 | 65.45% | 55 | 2025-03-03 to 2026-03-03 |
| ETHUSDT | Conservative | ethusdt-conservative-wave15-final-v1 | 299% | -6.55% | 2.56 | 58.26% | 115 | 2025-01-28 to 2026-01-28 |
| ETHUSDT | Balanced | ethusdt-balanced-wave15-final-v1 | 601% | -8.87% | 2.57 | 58.82% | 170 | 2025-01-28 to 2026-01-28 |
| ETHUSDT | Aggressive | ethusdt-aggressive-wave15-final-v1 | 1,044% | -12.56% | 2.60 | 60.77% | 209 | 2025-01-28 to 2026-01-28 |
| SOLUSDT | Conservative | solusdt-conservative-wave15-final-v1 | 986% | -9.73% | 2.43 | 61.87% | 299 | 2025-03-10 to 2026-01-06 |
| SOLUSDT | Balanced | solusdt-balanced-wave15-final-v1 | 2,005% | -11.53% | 2.16 | 58.84% | 447 | 2025-03-10 to 2026-01-06 |
| XRPUSDT | Conservative 2 | xrpusdt-conservative-2-wave15-final-v1 | 117% | -2.35% | 18.36 | 90.00% | 30 | 2025-02-28 to 2026-02-28 |
| XRPUSDT | Balanced | xrpusdt-balanced-wave15-final-v1 | 1,697% | -11.87% | 2.86 | 59.45% | 291 | 2025-01-16 to 2026-01-16 |
How To Read These Metrics
- Return is the historical simulation result for the tested basket window.
- Maximum drawdown shows the largest peak-to-trough decline during the simulation window.
- Profit factor compares gross profit to gross loss.
- Win rate shows the share of winning trades, but it should be read with trade count and drawdown.
- Small samples, such as 30 to 40 trades, can be promising but sample-size sensitive.
Past Performance Disclaimer
These results are historical simulations/backtests. Future market regimes, slippage, fees, liquidity, exchange outages, user settings, and implementation differences can materially change live results.